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Bruins Stanley Cup playoffs: How experts, oddsmakers and computers see Boston’s chances to advance vs. Carolina Hurricanes

Bruins Stanley Cup playoffs: How experts, oddsmakers and computers see Boston’s chances to advance vs. Carolina Hurricanes
Written by Publishing Team

Can the Bruins make a deep run in the playoffs? Can they even make it out of the first round? The Stanley Cup playoffs start Monday night for the Bruins, who have at times played like one of the best teams in the NHL and at others looked like a candidate for an early exit. Their best of seven series against the Carolina Hurricanes starts in Raleigh, NC at 7 pm

What do computers, Vegas oddsmakers and NHL experts think of Boston’s chances? Have a look:

Starting with the oddsmakers at BetMGM.com:

Sports betting isn’t legal yet in Massachusetts, but you don’t have to go far to find action.

According to BetMGM.com, the Bruins are tied for the seventh-best odds at +1600 to win the Stanley Cup and are +800 to win the Eastern Conference.

David Pastrnak has the best odds among Bruins players to win the Conn Smythe Trophy at +5000 which is 30th overall and strangely behind Pyotr Kochetkov, Carolina’s No. 3 goalie.

Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron are each +6600, while Taylor Hall, Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark are each at +10,000.

Bettors can bet on how many games the series will last regardless of the winner or specifically who’ll win in how many games:

  • Four Games — Either (+600) — Hurricanes (+1000) — Bruins (+1100)
  • Five Games — Either (+270) — Hurricanes (+550) — Bruins (+700)
  • Six Games — Either (+200) — Hurricanes (+500)— Bruins (+450)
  • Seven Games — Either (+200) — Hurricanes (+400) — Bruins (+550)

At +450, Pastrnak has the best odds to be the series’ leading goal scorer.

Five Thirty Eight

The politics and sports analytics site projects every team’s odds of advancing after each game is completed. The Bruins ranked 11th among the 16 teams in the playoffs in terms of chances to win the Stanley Cup. It’s projections break down like this.

The Bruins have:

  • A 4 percent to win the Stanley Cup
  • A 9 percent to reach the Stanley Cup Final/Win the Eastern Conference
  • A 21 percent chance of advancing to the Eastern Conference finals/win a second round series
  • A 40 percent to beat the Carolina Hurricanes

A noteworthy thing about the Bruins is if they do win this round, their numbers are likely to skyrocket because their percentages are already higher than Pittsburgh and just a hair below the Rangers. They’d play the winner of the Penguins vs. Rangers in the second round.

Experts:

Who are the experts taking? In the USA (outside of North Carolina) and Canada, a lot of media members like the Bruins’ chances.

ESPN’s Greg Wyshynski – “I’ll take the Bruins here, as Marchand and Pastrnak — the fourth- and fifth-highest playoff scorers since 2015-16, incidentally — help prolong what might be pending free agent Patrice Bergeron’s last run in Boston . That said, this might be the biggest toss-up series in the first round. Winner: Bruins eliminate Hurricanes 4-3″

At NHL.com, seven of the 16 writers had Boston pulling off an upset.

SportsNet Canada had all 19 of their insiders pick the series and nine of them picked the Bruins.

The Raleigh News and Observer’s three Experts all picked Carolina.

The Athletic polled each of their hockey writers and 62.5 percent of them picked Carolina to win.

“The confidence boost from this regular season was probably necessary, and the slight edge is deserved. But I think the slight edge comes more from both teams’ new goaltending situations and the Canes’ core having a few more seasons of experience than they did the last time these two teams met. — Sara Civian, Hurricanes beat writer

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